Geography Department Seminar: Eastern Mediterranean climate changes in the 21st century
מר אסף הוכמן, דוקטורנט, ביה"ס לסביבה ולמדעי כדוה"א ע"ש פורטר, אוניברסיטת תל אביב
The Mediterranean has been recognized as a ‘hot spot’, currently influenced by climate change, and predicted to be strongly affected in the future by significant warming and drying. This trend is expected to be expressed in changes of Mediterranean circulation in general, and of Eastern Mediterranean (EM) weather regimes characteristics in particular.
An overview of recent studies attempting to reduce uncertainty in climate predictions will be discussed: 1) An investigation of future changes in the occurrence of EM synoptic systems, with an emphasis on cyclones. 2) 21st century projections of the seasons' length, defined according to the prevailing synoptic systems. 3) Projections of EM extreme precipitation indices based on 23 Global Climate Models. 4) A first very high resolution (~8km) simulation of extreme temperature and precipitation over Israel.
Hochman A, Harpaz T, Saaroni H, Alpert P. 2018. Synoptic classification in 21st century CMIP5 predictions over the Eastern Mediterranean with focus on cyclones. International Journal of Climatology 38: 1476-1483. DOI: 10.1002/joc.5260
Hochman A, Harpaz T, Saaroni H, Alpert P. 2018. The seasons' length in 21st century CMIP5 projections over the eastern Mediterranean. International Journal of Climatology 38(6), 2627-2637. DOI: 10.1002/joc.5448
Seminar Organizer: Prof. Hadas Saaroni